AGP Executive Report

Sudan Conflict & Aid Pressure: A new report on global humanitarian logistics warns that Middle East fighting is disrupting shipments of medicines and emergency supplies, and notes USAID’s shutdown has already weakened aid funding—leaving Sudan’s hunger crisis even more exposed. Forced Displacement Numbers: UNHCR says forced displacement fell for the first time in a decade to 118 million, but Sudan remains among the countries driving long-term displacement. Belfast Unrest Linked to Sudanese Suspect: In Northern Ireland, thousands marched in Belfast under “Together Against Hate” after days of anti-immigrant violence sparked by a knife attack; a Sudanese man, Hadi Alodid, faces attempted murder charges, while police and leaders condemn racism and intimidation. Horn of Africa Security Warning: An op-ed argues the Horn is entering a more volatile phase as TPLF, Eritrea, and Al-Shabaab interests may be converging, with external powers adding pressure. Media & Detention Fallout: UK far-right activist Tommy Robinson says he was detained at Heathrow under counter-terrorism laws, as authorities declined to comment on the reason.

Sudan Conflict Watch: A new PRIO study says state-based armed conflicts hit 65 in 2025—the highest since WWII—driven in part by the Ukraine war, Israel-Gaza, and Sudan’s civil war, with about 245,000 battle deaths reported. Humanitarian Accountability: Doctors Without Borders says it found a pattern of abuse and sexual exploitation by some staff in Chad along the Sudan border, including allegations involving underage girls, with dismissed staff barred from future work. Belfast Anti-Racism Response: Thousands rallied in Belfast after days of anti-immigrant violence sparked by a stabbing blamed on a Sudanese asylum seeker; protesters condemned “racist pogroms,” while officials reported homes and vehicles burned and police injured. Global Displacement: UNHCR reports forced displacement fell for the first time in a decade, to 117.8 million at end-2025, with returns rising—though crises remain severe, including in Sudan.

Sudan War Update: The Sudanese Armed Forces welcomed high-profile RSF defectors, including Al-Nour Ahmed Adam, while Human Rights Watch links the RSF to war crimes during the siege of El Fasher—raising fresh questions about amnesty and accountability. Belfast Aftermath: Days of anti-immigration riots in Northern Ireland followed a knife attack in north Belfast; the suspect, Hadi Alodid, a Sudanese national, faces attempted murder charges as masked mobs torched homes, cars and a bus, and police made dozens of arrests. Online Fuel: Researchers say Elon Musk amplified anti-migrant narratives on X tied to the Belfast unrest, with posts from far-right figures drawing massive views. Aid Abuse in Chad: Doctors Without Borders’ internal report found exploitation and sexual abuse by some staff in Chad against refugees, dismissing and barring 18 workers. Global Context: A new Peace Index warns global peace is at a new low as conflicts and militarisation surge—citing Sudan among major drivers.

Sudan War Update: Rights groups say RSF drone strikes hit civilians and funerals in North Kordofan, with reports of 23 killed and 19 wounded in El-Obeid, as attacks increasingly target neighborhoods and infrastructure. Belfast Unrest Spillover: Northern Ireland remains on edge after days of anti-immigrant riots sparked by a knife attack in which a Sudanese man was charged; PSNI reports 19 arrests and warns of “zero-tolerance” if violence returns. Common Travel Area Scrutiny: UK and Irish leaders discussed strengthening the CTA after the suspect’s route via Dublin, while new data claims many asylum seekers in Ireland entered via the land border. Court Case in Scotland: A woman appeared in court in Greenock charged with a hate crime after a protest outside a hotel used to house asylum seekers. Digital Hate Debate: Elon Musk faces accusations of amplifying anti-migrant posts on X during the Belfast disorder, as officials and lawmakers demand accountability.

Belfast Unrest: Northern Ireland police arrested 16 people after a second night of disorder sparked by Monday’s knife attack on Stephen Ogilvie, with 12 officers injured and water cannon used to push back masked protesters targeting a migrant hotel; Ogilvie’s family says his condition is improving and he may be out of a coma within 48 hours. Racist Violence Claims: UK Northern Ireland Secretary Hilary Benn and others condemned the attacks as “racist thuggery,” while minority residents from Sudan and elsewhere say they are too afraid to send children to school after homes and businesses were burned. Asylum Scrutiny: The suspect, Hadi Alodid, 30, a Sudanese national charged with attempted murder, was granted asylum under a fast-track scheme tied to the security situation in Sudan; reports also say he briefly worked as a policeman in Khartoum. Online Incitement: Politicians and journalists raised alarms about social media posts and intimidation, including claims that Elon Musk amplified anti-immigrant messaging around the Belfast attack. Sudan Conflict Update: Drone strikes on el-Obeid in Kordofan reportedly killed up to 23 people, including during a funeral and near residential areas. Regional Watch: Ethiopia warned Tigrayan forces are preparing an offensive against the federal government, raising fears of renewed war.

Belfast Violence After Knife Attack: A Sudanese man, Hadi Alodid, 30, was charged with attempted murder after the Monday stabbing of Stephen Ogilvie, who lost his left eye. Court & Charges: Alodid appeared by video in Belfast Magistrates’ Court, remanded in custody, and also faces charges including possessing a knife and threatening to kill an NHS radiographer. Riot Response: On a second night of unrest, police used water cannon and armoured vehicles as masked rioters hurled bricks and petrol bombs, injuring 12 officers and making 16 arrests. Family Appeal: Ogilvie’s family urged calm and said the tragedy must not be used to “divide people or fuel hostility,” stressing migrants’ contributions. Political Fallout: Northern Ireland Secretary Hilary Benn called the violence “racist thuggery,” while UK and Irish officials discussed tightening enforcement around the Common Travel Area to “prevent abuse.” Global Displacement: UNHCR reported forced displacement fell in 2025 for the first time in a decade, but 118 million people remain displaced worldwide.

Belfast Unrest: A Sudanese man, Hadi Alodid, appeared in court charged with attempted murder after a knife attack left Stephen Ogilvie with life-changing injuries, including loss of his left eye; the attack sparked a second night of anti-immigrant violence across Northern Ireland, with masked mobs torching homes, cars and a bus, and police firing water cannons in Newtownabbey as protesters threw bricks and missiles. Victim’s Family Plea: Ogilvie’s family urged calm and warned against using the tragedy to “fuel hostility,” while UK and Northern Ireland leaders condemned the violence and said those involved would face the full force of the law. Cross-Border Scrutiny: Senior UK officials renewed debate over the Common Travel Area after it emerged the suspect entered Northern Ireland via Dublin in 2023, prompting calls for tighter immigration checks and more data sharing. Social Media Pressure: UK regulators and ministers pushed platforms, including X, to act faster under the Online Safety Act after online posts were blamed for inflaming unrest. Regional Context: UAE and US officials discussed regional security and reviewed developments including Sudan and Lebanon.

Belfast Court Update: Hadi Alodid, a 30-year-old Sudanese man, appeared in Belfast Magistrates’ Court charged with attempted murder after a knife attack left victim Stephen Ogilvie, 44, with catastrophic injuries including the loss of his left eye; police also charged Alodid with threats to kill an NHS radiographer and possession of a knife, and he was remanded in custody after refusing bail. Riots and Condemnation: The stabbing sparked violent anti-immigration unrest across Belfast and beyond, with masked mobs torching homes, cars, a bus, and a Middle Eastern supermarket, forcing families to flee; UK PM Keir Starmer called the scenes “shocking and completely unacceptable,” while Northern Ireland leaders and Christian groups urged calm and condemned the targeting of people for their background. Immigration Backlash Debate: Questions are growing over how Alodid entered the UK via the Common Travel Area and later received refugee status, as politicians and social media figures trade blame and calls for protests. Sudan Link in Focus: The suspect’s Sudanese identity is driving attention to asylum and border rules, while Sudan-related coverage also includes a separate report on Sudan Gurung’s return to Nepal’s home ministry amid unanswered questions.

Belfast Knife Attack Fallout: UK leaders urged calm after Northern Ireland police arrested a 30-year-old Sudanese asylum seeker over a brutal north Belfast stabbing that left a man in his 40s with serious eye, face and back injuries; the suspect faces attempted murder charges and is due in court as graphic footage online fuels anger. Anti-Immigration Unrest: Within hours, hundreds of protesters—many masked—took to streets across Belfast and beyond, torching a Glider bus, cars and bins, blocking roads, and forcing evacuations as police warned against hate and social-media incitement. Sudan Accountability in Focus: In parallel, a first war-crimes complaint against Sudan’s RSF was filed in Kenya on behalf of Khartoum-area victims alleging torture, rape and sexual slavery, seeking accountability for senior and mid-level commanders. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE discussed Gaza and Iran-related regional security, while also stressing Sudan’s unity and support for a political settlement. Global Conflict Pressure: A new study says worldwide conflicts and civilian-targeted violence hit record highs, with Sudan highlighted as a key driver of rising deaths.

Sudan Peace Talks: The US and a wide coalition of partners backed a Sudanese-led, civilian political dialogue in weeks, saying there can be no military solution and warning of worsening humanitarian conditions as attacks on civilians continue. Humanitarian Aid: The US approved more than $240m in State Department humanitarian funding for Catholic Relief Services, including support for Sudan amid ongoing crises and Ebola response work. Conflict and Civilians: A new global conflict report says 2025 saw the highest number of state-linked conflicts since WWII, with Sudan highlighted for driving a sharp rise in civilian deaths tied to fighting. Ebola Response: WHO criticised travel restrictions imposed on Uganda after an Ebola outbreak, urging countries to rely on public-health measures instead of bans that can harm transparency and economies. Regional Diplomacy: UAE welcomed a Sudan joint statement calling for a comprehensive civilian-led political process and support for inclusive dialogue and humanitarian truce efforts. Displacement in Darfur: South Darfur saw over 13,000 people displaced in a week amid clashes between Beni Halba and Salamat tribes.

Sudan Peace Talks: Western powers and regional blocs backed a civilian-led roadmap for Sudan, saying there can be no military solution and urging a transition steered by civilians under an AU-backed quintet. Humanitarian Access: The ICRC said a new Port Sudan–Khartoum flight will speed up staff deployment and services, calling on all sides to allow safe, unimpeded aid. Kordofan Drone Strike: A drone attack on a central Sudan market in North Kordofan killed 11 civilians and wounded dozens, with reports of more strikes in the region. Darfur Displacement: More than 13,000 people fled renewed tribal clashes in South Darfur between the Beni Halba and Salamat, according to IOM figures. Security and Governance: Sudan introduced measures to regulate traditional mining and curb gold and drug smuggling, targeting harmful chemicals and unregulated operations. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and Eritrea vowed to deepen ties and coordinate on Horn of Africa and Red Sea security, including discussion of Sudan.

Sudan Peace Talks: A new Sudan roadmap was unveiled in Nairobi, proposing a three-track plan with a renewable internationally monitored ceasefire and a political transition focused on state reform, while seeking to exclude key Islamist leaders and keep the warring parties at the table for talks. Humanitarian Access: The ICRC launched its first Port Sudan–Khartoum RED aircraft flight since the war began, aiming to speed up specialized support as displacement tops 11 million and services collapse. Security & Civilian Harm: Drone strikes hit central Sudan, with reports of at least 11 killed and dozens injured after an attack on a North Kordofan market. Mining Crackdown: Sudan introduced measures to regulate traditional mining, remove mills and basins from residential and military areas, and curb gold and drug smuggling tied to unregulated extraction. Regional Context: Egypt’s PM toured major Alexandria industrial projects, including a new Lipton production line, as Cairo pushes local manufacturing and investment.

North Kordofan Drone Attacks: At least 11 civilians were killed and dozens injured after a drone hit Abu Zaima market in Hamrat El Sheikh, with earlier strikes in the same area raising the weekend toll to 15. Eid Relief Across Sudan: Qatar Red Crescent’s Eid al-Adha Sacrifice Campaign reached 247,344 beneficiaries in Qatar and 13 countries, including Sudan, delivering meat to displaced and vulnerable families. Ebola Watch in India: Two suspected Ebola patients linked to Hyderabad’s Gandhi Hospital tested negative, but authorities will keep strict monitoring. Sudan’s Neglected Crisis Ranking: The Norwegian Refugee Council says Sudan tops the world’s most ignored displacement crises for 2025, with DRC also returning to the top ten. Humanitarian Funding Push: The U.S. announced $240m for Catholic Relief Services to speed aid to crisis-hit countries, including Sudan. Sudan Peace Talks Stance: Ta’sis alliance rejects any Sudan settlement outside established international frameworks and calls for a three-month humanitarian truce via the Jeddah platform.

Drone Attack in North Kordofan: A drone strike hit the Abu Zuaima market in Hamrat al Sheij, central Sudan, killing at least 11 people and injuring dozens, according to a local rights group; the attack followed other strikes in the area and comes as aerial attacks keep deepening the humanitarian toll. Army Welcomes RSF Defectors: Sudan’s army says it has received RSF defectors as “strategic victory,” but the move risks new tensions inside the armed forces as some families refuse to reconcile. Eid Relief Reaches Sudan: Qatar Red Crescent Society’s Eid al-Adha Sacrifice Campaign says it delivered aid to 247,344 beneficiaries across 14 countries, including Sudan, with meat distribution carried out via local partners. Hunger Warning: The UN World Food Programme warns that conflict-linked shocks and high prices are pushing millions toward acute food insecurity, listing Sudan among worsening hotspots. Neglected Crisis Watch: A Norwegian Refugee Council report ranks Sudan as the world’s most ignored displacement crisis, with funding now meeting only a quarter of needs. Ebola Scare Eases in India: Two suspected Ebola cases involving Sudanese nationals at Hyderabad’s Gandhi Hospital tested negative, easing immediate fears.

Drone Strike in North Kordofan: A drone attack hit the main market in Abu Zaeima, a paramilitary-controlled town in North Kordofan, killing at least 11 civilians and injuring dozens, according to a local rights group; the strike followed similar attacks in the region within 24 hours, with no party claiming responsibility. Army Welcomes RSF Defectors: Sudan’s army says it has received RSF defectors as “strategic victory,” but some families and fighters fear new divisions inside the army ranks. Sudan Peace Talks Breakthrough: Rival Sudanese political and civil forces agreed on a shared vision to end the war and move toward democratic civilian rule, handing the draft to the international “quintet” mechanism (AU, Arab League, EU, UN, IGAD). Ebola Screening in India: Two Sudanese nationals under observation at Hyderabad’s Gandhi Hospital tested negative for Ebola; one more case remains under testing while isolation protocols continue. Humanitarian Pressure: The UN’s WFP warned that the Iran war is pushing millions more toward hunger, naming Sudan among major hunger hotspots.

Sudan Peace Talks: Sudanese political and civil forces from rival camps say they’ve reached a breakthrough on a shared vision to end the war and set up a transition to democratic civilian rule, handing the draft to the AU, Arab League, EU, UN and IGAD for follow-up. UN Security: Six Bangladeshi UN peacekeepers killed in a 13 Dec 2025 drone strike in Kadugli, Sudan, received the Dag Hammarskjöld Medal in New York on International Day of UN Peacekeepers. Ebola Watch (Sudan-linked travel): In India, a Sudanese traveller isolated at Hyderabad’s Gandhi Hospital tested negative for Ebola; a second suspected case remains under observation while samples are processed. Humanitarian Pressure: The UN World Food Programme warns the Iran war could push millions more into acute hunger, citing spillovers from high fuel and food prices that hit already fragile economies. Regional Diplomacy: Egypt and Germany held talks in Cairo focused on African affairs and Sudan, stressing security and development as linked paths to stability. Accountability Debate: A Sudan-focused rights piece argues Sudan’s war crimes record demands international accountability, highlighting alleged systematic attacks on civilians.