AGP Executive Report

Blue Nile Frontline: Sudanese authorities say the army repelled an RSF and SPLM-N attack on Al-Baraka in Al-Kurmuk, reporting heavy losses and fighters pushed toward the Ethiopian border. Foreign Arms Pressure: The US is urging a UN arms embargo covering all of Sudan, arguing foreign weapons and support are sustaining the war; a UN probe also warns drones and external networks are boosting attacks on civilians. UN Drone Findings: A UN fact-finding mission says foreign weapons, tech, fighters and logistics—linked to networks involving the UAE, Chad, Libya and Somalia—are strengthening both sides, including drone strikes. UAE Denial: The UAE rejects allegations of involvement in Sudan’s war, saying it has not supplied weapons since April 2023 and points to humanitarian aid. Diplomacy Hope: Sudan’s government moves toward a proposed national dialogue by dismissing charges against people seeking to return for talks, with the AU welcoming the initiative. Khalid Omar on Burhan: Exiled opposition politician Khalid Omar attacks a campaign promoting Burhan for president, calling it a power struggle behind the war. Blue Nile Tensions: A Sudanese official accuses Ethiopia of hosting RSF training camps near the border, alleging support involving the UAE and Ethiopian intelligence.

Sudan War Accountability: A UN fact-finding mission says the Sudanese Armed Forces used foreign-supplied drones and loitering munitions in attacks that hit civilian areas, including markets and hospitals in Blue Nile, raising concerns of war crimes. Humanitarian Pressure: IOM reports 9,420 people displaced in South Kordofan and Blue Nile after renewed fighting, with the situation described as tense and volatile. AU Mediation Clash: Sudanese anti-war forces reject the African Union’s backing of a “Sudanese-Sudanese Dialogue” linked to Burhan, warning it could legitimize military rule and entrench division. Blue Nile Frontline: Abdel Fattah al-Burhan inspected army readiness in Damazin amid escalating clashes with the RSF and SPLM-N. Local Life Under Strain: A High Court in the UK dismissed a challenge to Sudan’s “visa brake,” which blocks student visas from Sudan for 18 months. Elsewhere (Human Interest): In Nepal, rescuers pulled two hydropower workers alive from a debris-buried tunnel on the tenth day after flash floods.

Sudan War Fuel: A UN fact-finding mission says Sudan’s conflict is being sustained by foreign weapons and mercenaries, including drone supplies and support networks linked to the UAE and other countries, warning states to enforce the Darfur arms embargo and halt transfers of drones and military assistance. Blue Nile Frontline: Sudan’s Sovereign Council chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan inspected army readiness in Damazin, as clashes between the army, RSF and SPLM-N intensify in Blue Nile. External Backing: The US says around 12 countries are providing military support to Sudan’s warring sides, complicating efforts to end the fighting, while Washington pushes to expand the UN arms embargo nationwide. Arms and Drones Debate: Separate UN-linked reporting highlights how AI-enabled weapons are raising “moral red line” concerns, as drones increasingly reach civilian areas. Politics in the Region: SPLM leaders say preparations are underway for the party’s 3rd National Convention and December 2026 elections.

GERD Tensions: Ethiopia’s plan for more Blue Nile dams is raising fresh alarm in Sudan as experts warn that poor coordination on dam releases could bring floods in wet months and “catastrophic” shortages in dry spells. Blue Nile Frontline: Sudanese Army chief Burhan inspected readiness in Damazin, as SAF faces escalating RSF and SPLM-N offensives and new allied reinforcements. Humanitarian Integrity: Nepal’s flood relief spotlighted “inhumane” donations of used, torn clothes, with Home Minister Sudan Gurung urging donors to stop degrading aid. Sudan Accountability Push: Sudanese Journalists’ Syndicate says five reporters remain missing after enforced disappearances, demanding disclosure and independent investigation. War’s External Supply Lines: A call urges Europe to treat Sudan’s arms and drone flows as a nationwide problem, not a Darfur-only snapshot, and to dismantle illicit corridors. Sudan Dialogue Pressure: Civil society urges extending the UN fact-finding mission on Sudan to keep investigating grave violations and ensure resources for accountability.

Sudan Human Rights & Accountability: The Sudanese Journalists’ Syndicate says five of its members remain missing after enforced disappearance, including cases dating to Omdurman (Nov. 2024) and El Fasher (Oct. 2025), urging immediate disclosure and an independent probe. War’s Human Cost: UN reporting warns displacement is accelerating, with about 22,000 people driven from Sudan’s Blue Nile over the past week amid clashes involving the RSF and SPLM-N, as families struggle for shelter and clean water. Crisis in Darfur & Kordofan: Aid groups and local medical teams describe a worsening health emergency in North Darfur and West Kordofan, citing malnutrition among children and a cholera outbreak, with medicines scarce and humanitarian access limited. International Pressure on Sudan: Civil society in Geneva is calling on the UN Human Rights Council to extend the Sudan Fact-Finding Mission’s mandate and fund it properly, including follow-up reporting on grave violations. Regional Civic Space: CIVICUS highlights the UN Human Rights Council session’s focus on protecting civil society and warning that reprisals and arbitrary detention are increasingly used to silence rights defenders.

Blue Nile Displacement: The UN says about 22,000 people were displaced in Sudan’s Blue Nile state over the past week as fighting intensified around Geissan, with many sheltering in schools or fleeing toward Ed Damazine. Kordofan Spillover: The UN migration agency also reported 730 people displaced from villages in South Kordofan amid worsening insecurity. Military Moves: Sudan’s army announced the arrival of the first batch of joint forces from allied armed groups to support operations against the RSF in Blue Nile. AU Dialogue Backlash: Sudan’s pro-civilian alliance condemned an African Union Commission statement welcoming an inconclusive dialogue call by Gen. Burhan, saying it could entrench division and lacks credibility. Humanitarian Pressure: Reports also point to food and services worsening in conflict-affected areas, as civilians face escalating risks. Local Politics: In El Gezira, farmers are split over new agricultural and livestock associations as delayed rains threaten food security.

Sudan War and Displacement: The UN warns violence is driving a fresh surge in displacement, with Blue Nile seeing up to 22,000 people fleeing Gisan locality in a week and North Kordofan also hit by attacks and looting around El Obeid and El Obeid’s surroundings. Blue Nile Military Moves: Sudan’s army says it has received the first batch of joint forces from allied armed groups to boost operations against the RSF in Blue Nile, as clashes escalate. Dialogue Under Scrutiny: Sudan’s pro-civilian alliance condemned an African Union Commission statement welcoming an “inconclusive” Sudan dialogue call, arguing it lacks credibility and entrenches division; women’s leaders also question Burhan’s plan without ceasefire and real participation. Local Politics and Society: El Gezira farmers are split over new agricultural and livestock associations, while delayed rains in North Darfur threaten the farming season and food security. Rights and Religious Safety: Reports say persecution of Christians in Sudan is intensifying, with clergy targeted for killing, abduction and forced conversion. Regional Links: An investigation claims RSF senior officials met Israel during the war period, pointing to a long-running security and intelligence relationship.

Sudan Conflict & Displacement: The UN’s IOM says at least 450 people were displaced in North Kordofan in a single day as insecurity worsened, with RSF-linked attacks reported in areas west of Bara and local groups warning the situation remains volatile. Peace Process: The African Union welcomed a new Sudanese-led dialogue initiative inside Sudan, to be supervised by an independent committee of Sudanese elders and meant to bring civil, political and societal stakeholders together. Regional Diplomacy: President John Dramani Mahama arrived in Luanda for the AU’s extraordinary session on conflict prevention and resolution, as leaders push for stronger African-led mechanisms and financing. Security & External Influence: A new report says Iran’s military and logistical network is using Sudan—especially Port Sudan—as a hub for links with the Houthis, including weapons transfers and possible training. Return to Khartoum: Commentary highlights that people returning to Khartoum face a gap between coming back and getting reliable power, water, healthcare, housing and safety.

AU Peace Talks: The African Union welcomed a new Sudanese-led dialogue initiative to end the war, to be held inside Sudan under an independent committee of elders and involving civil society and political groups. North Kordofan Insecurity: The UN’s IOM says 450 people were displaced in one day from Al-Gardud Abu Zeid village in Al-Rahad, fleeing to Um Rawaba as attacks by the RSF and fighting between the army and RSF continue. Return to Khartoum: A new report highlights that people are coming back to the capital, but reintegration remains fragile amid power and water cuts, high prices, weak services, and insecurity. Red Sea Security: A US-linked analysis says Port Sudan is emerging as a logistics and financing hub in Iran’s expanding military network tied to the Houthis. Women and Arms Embargo: A rights-focused discussion argues that expanding a Darfur arms embargo to all Sudan is crucial to reducing violence risks faced by women.

Blue Nile Displacement: Fighting in Sudan’s Blue Nile is driving a new wave of flight from Geissan’s City 12 area, with a local emergency group saying displacement is nearing 20,000 people and families face dire shortages of shelter, food, water and health care. Cross-Border Clashes: The same escalation is tied to attacks along the Ethiopia-border front, where RSF and allied forces are pushing offensives. Khartoum Recovery Strain: Returnees in Khartoum state report power and water cuts, rising prices, unemployment and unsafe movement after dark as services slowly restart. Remittances Push: Sudan is moving to link an electronic payment framework with mobile banking in Saudi Arabia to route Gulf remittances through regulated channels as the war weakens the economy. AU Peace Architecture: At an AU extraordinary summit in Luanda, leaders—including Namibia’s president—focused on strengthening conflict prevention and resolution mechanisms, with Sudan highlighted as a key test case. Nepal Floods, Global Climate Link: Separately, Nepal’s glacier-flood disaster continues to claim lives and leave thousands missing, underscoring how climate shocks ripple far beyond the region.

Blue Nile Displacement: A local emergency group says nearly 20,000 people have been forced from their homes in Sudan’s Blue Nile state, with families sheltering around Geissan’s City 12 area as fighting worsens and shortages bite. Arms Embargo Debate: The US is pushing the UN to expand a Darfur arms embargo to cover all of Sudan, arguing it could curb violence against civilians—while China, Russia, and Sudan’s representative oppose. Political Dialogue Warning: Sudan’s anti-war forces reject Burhan’s proposed national dialogue, warning it could entrench division and legitimize de facto authorities unless fighting ends first and civilians are protected. Khartoum Recovery Struggles: Returnees in Khartoum face daily hardship—power and water cuts, high prices, and limited livelihoods—slowing the city’s slow restart. Remittances Plan: Sudan’s finance ministry is finalizing an electronic payment framework to help Sudanese in Saudi Arabia send money home through regulated channels, aiming to boost official inflows.

Sudan Humanitarian Crisis: In El Obeid, North Kordofan, conditions for civilians fleeing the war are “shockingly overcrowded” as new arrivals keep pouring in, with shortages of food and trauma reported by aid workers; UN figures cited by Save the Children say more than 15,000 families have arrived since mid-July. Khartoum Security Update: Sudan has lifted Khartoum’s two-year curfew and state of emergency, though checkpoints and patrols remain in key areas. War Spreads Toward Neighbors: Fighting and drone claims are intensifying near Sudan’s borders, with RSF and allies announcing gains in Blue Nile close to Ethiopia, raising fears of wider regional spillover. Local Violence Report: A local emergency room in North Kordofan says RSF attacks killed four civilians in Al-Qaa and nearby villages. Nepal Floods (Regional Impact): While not Sudan-focused, the week’s biggest humanitarian disaster is Nepal’s flash floods, with rescues continuing as authorities warn of rising river levels and hundreds of workers remain trapped in tunnels.

Sudan War at the Ethiopian Border: Fighting in Blue Nile has intensified, with the RSF and SPLM-N claiming they seized Sirkam and Bakori bases near the frontier, while Khartoum says it shot down drones it claims came from Ethiopian territory—raising fresh fears the conflict could spill across borders. Khartoum Lifts Curfew: Sudan’s military-led authorities have lifted a two-year curfew and state of emergency in Khartoum, reopening the main airport and urging businesses and embassies to return, though residents still face looting damage and power blackouts linked to alleged drone attacks on electricity infrastructure. Darfur Civilian Strike Claims: The Western Darfur Civil Administration accuses the SAF of a drone attack on the Adekong border market, killing and injuring dozens (including Chadian nationals) and warning repeated strikes could disrupt trade and aid routes. UN Arms Embargo Push: A UN Security Council proposal would expand the Darfur arms embargo to all of Sudan and explicitly include drones, with the US backing tougher measures as Russia and China resist broader scope. Humanitarian Returns: Kuwait says weekly flights from Entebbe to Khartoum will continue until end-September, moving about 1,200 Sudanese refugees back home under a funded voluntary return plan.

Khartoum Lifts Curfew: Sudan’s military-led authorities have removed a two-year curfew and state of emergency in Khartoum, reopening the main airport for limited flights and urging businesses and embassies to return, though residents still face looting damage and frequent power blackouts blamed on drone attacks on the electricity grid. North Kordofan Civilian Toll: A rights group says a drone strike hit civilians traveling in Um Sharu, Sodari locality, killing eight and injuring dozens, with vehicles destroyed and a second strike reported as people tried to evacuate the wounded. Darfur Market Strike: Western Darfur officials accuse the SAF of a drone attack on the Adekong border market, killing and injuring dozens and warning repeated strikes could disrupt trade and aid through the Adré crossing. UN Arms Embargo Push: Massad Boulos has put forward a UN Security Council resolution to extend Darfur’s arms embargo across all Sudan, explicitly include drones, and expand the sanctions panel’s role—while Russia and China resist broader measures. Foreign Mercenaries in Darfur: A Financial Times investigation and rights groups allege UAE-linked networks deployed Colombian contractors to support RSF operations, including technical drone and artillery support during the El Fasher siege.

Khartoum curfew lifted: Sudan’s military-led government has lifted Khartoum’s two-year curfew and state of emergency, reopening the main airport and urging businesses and embassies to return, though residents still face looting damage and frequent power blackouts. North Kordofan drone deaths: A rights group says a drone strike hit civilians traveling in Um Sharu, Sodari locality, killing 8 and injuring dozens, destroying four vehicles, and striking again as people tried to evacuate the wounded. Kordofan power and daily life: Reuters reports worsening electricity cuts in army-controlled areas, tied to attacks on the power grid and limited repair funding, freezing household and work routines for hundreds of thousands. Regional spillover fears: Chad accuses Sudan’s army of an airstrike inside Chadian territory targeting an RSF fuel market, while the US calls for an end to external support and urges a wider UN arms embargo. Arms embargo debate: A new analysis argues that pushing for a comprehensive arms embargo could tilt the balance further toward the RSF, as the SAF regains territory and cities while militia networks keep supplying arms. Darfur/El Fasher accountability: The Financial Times reports foreign mercenaries supported RSF operations during the siege and capture of El Fasher, prompting calls for strict accountability.

Khartoum Security: Sudan lifted Khartoum’s two-year curfew and a state of emergency, but kept security checkpoints and army patrols, urging residents to carry ID; it also tightened entry rules for foreign nationals. South Kordofan Floods: The UN migration agency IOM says heavy rains and floods displaced 168 families and damaged or destroyed 271 homes in Abu Kershola, South Kordofan, as war limits disaster response. Chad–Sudan Border Tensions: Chad says a Sudanese air strike hit a fuel market near the border, killing at least 12 and wounding seven, while Sudan rejected blame before an independent probe. War on Information: A journalist in Berber was arrested and charged with “spreading fake news” after criticizing an SAF-aligned Islamist faction, highlighting pressure on local reporting. Humanitarian Migration Deaths: A Sudanese relief committee reports 37 Sudanese migrants died at sea on the route from Libya to Greece. Regional Arms Pressure: The US warned Sudan’s war could spill across borders and urged cutting external support to both sides as diplomats push for wider UN arms embargo coverage.