AGP Executive Report

Sudan War Diplomacy: The EU’s Horn of Africa envoy says Saudi Arabia is “key” to turning stalled talks into a ceasefire and political transition, pointing to Jeddah as a rare place where both sides were brought together and warning of a looming humanitarian catastrophe around El Obeid. Humanitarian Health in Sudan: Qatar Charity launched paediatric catheterisation and open-heart surgery services at Wad Madani in Gezira, with Sudan’s health minister and state officials attending, as part of continued medical support amid the conflict. El Obeid Under Strain: Aid workers describe relentless drone strikes hitting schools and fuel stations in El Obeid, with UN-linked figures citing dozens killed in a recent stretch, raising fears of another El Fasher-style atrocity. Regional Pressure on RSF: A report claims Saudi Arabia paid senior RSF commanders to defect to the Sudanese army, tying continued support for Burhan to removing Islamists from influential posts—claims not independently verified.

El Obeid Crisis: UN rights chief Volker Türk warned that Sudan’s El Obeid is sliding toward another major atrocity as drone strikes hit schools, fuel stations and markets, killing at least 45 civilians and injuring 41 between June 6 and 28, while fuel shortages and siege-like conditions threaten clean water, food and healthcare. Humanitarian Alarm: Aid workers describe relentless attacks and growing fear of a repeat of El Fasher, as civilians struggle to leave and basic services collapse. Poverty Deepens: A UN report says 73% of Sudanese now live below the poverty line, up from 45% in 2023, with about 24 million people pushed into coping measures like skipping meals, selling assets and sending children to work. Health Support: Qatar Charity launched paediatric cardiac catheterisation and open-heart surgery services in Wad Madani, aiming to ease the burden on families and strengthen local care for children. War-Linked Networks: A new investigation alleges RSF training camps and supply routes in eastern Libya help fuel Sudan’s war, pointing to external support channels.

El Obeid “red alert”: UN rights chief Volker Türk warned of an unfolding catastrophe in Sudan’s El Obeid, citing siege-like conditions for 18 months and relentless drone strikes that killed at least 45 civilians and injured 41 between June 6–28, while attacks hit markets, schools, fuel stations and water infrastructure. Humanitarian toll: Aid workers describe a city under pounding drones, with fuel shortages and water risks rising as the rainy season begins, and fears of a repeat of last year’s El Fasher massacre. Poverty surge: A UN report says 73% of Sudanese now live below the poverty line—up from 45% in 2023—pushing families to cut meals, sell possessions, and send children to work. War supply lines scrutiny: A new investigation alleges RSF training camps and supply routes in eastern Libya, pointing to UAE-linked support sustaining Sudan’s war. International justice questions: A report says ICC prosecutors shelved an RSF arrest warrant over alleged atrocities in Darfur as the crisis deepened.

El-Obeid “Red Alert”: UN rights chief Volker Türk warned that a “human rights catastrophe” is unfolding in Sudan’s El-Obeid, with civilians trapped under siege-like conditions for 18 months and battered by relentless drone strikes. He said his office documented 15 drone attacks between June 6-28 that killed at least 45 people and injured 41, with repeated hits on markets, schools, fuel stations, water infrastructure and civilian vehicles—along with patterns of executions, abductions, torture, sexual violence and looting. Humanitarian Alarm: Türk and other UN voices warned the fighting and infrastructure damage are worsening fuel, water and healthcare shortages, raising fears of mass atrocities and a new wave of displacement. War-Backed Networks: A new investigation says RSF training camps and supply routes in eastern Libya are helping sustain Sudan’s war, pointing to UAE-linked support and urging stronger international pressure. Darfur/DRONE Toll: Separate reporting highlights drone strikes in South Kordofan, killing children and worsening an already collapsing local health situation. ICC Scrutiny: A report claims ICC prosecutors shelved an RSF arrest warrant as atrocities mounted, adding to criticism of the court’s Sudan record.

El-Obeid Atrocity Warning: UN rights chief Volker Türk issued a “red alert” over a looming human rights catastrophe in Sudan’s el-Obeid, warning civilians have endured siege-like conditions for 18 months, with drone strikes, executions, abductions, torture and sexual violence—Britain and allies pushed for an urgent UN Human Rights Council debate, with fears up to 500,000 people could face atrocities. Humanitarian Risk in Kordofan: UK Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper said the world cannot allow el-Obeid to become “the next senseless tragedy,” citing attacks on aid workers and essential services. Port Sudan Trade Boost: Port Sudan processed 26,019 TEUs in June (15,593 containers) and received 30 vessels, with officials pointing to resumed transshipment services and calls for deeper berths and more storage. Local Security in Wau: Police reported security restored in Wau County’s Besilia Payam after communal clashes and armed attacks, including alleged SPLM-IO involvement and a roadside ambush. Connectivity Move: Qatar Airways launched Port Sudan flights, adding three weekly services via Doha. SPLM Unity Call: SPLM vice president James Wani Igga urged members to treat internal differences as learning opportunities to strengthen unity and discipline. Iraq Anti-Corruption Drive: Iraq’s PM al-Zaidi ordered intensified anti-corruption enforcement, while leaders in Tehran attended Khamenei’s funeral amid calls for regional solidarity.

Darfur Crisis: Amnesty International says RSF fighters committed crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing during the 2024-25 siege of el-Fasher, calling for an immediate ceasefire and an international protection force for civilians. West Darfur Displacement: UN migration monitors report more than 6,000 people fled Kulbus and nearby villages after RSF threats, with most crossing into Chad as fighting continues. El-Obeid Under Siege: UN Human Rights Council urgent debate is set for Friday over fears of a humanitarian catastrophe in el-Obeid, where civilians face drone attacks, rising food prices, and infrastructure damage. Cholera Watch: WHO reports at least 120 deaths and over 1,100 suspected cases since May in West Kordofan, warning conflict and displacement are spreading the outbreak. Military Developments: Sudan’s army says it is closing in on RSF positions in West Darfur and claims drone and ground advances, including near El Geneina. Health & Aid: Sudan’s cholera response remains strained by limited supplies and funding, with operations receiving only a third of what’s needed this year. Transport & Connectivity: Qatar Airways launched Port Sudan flights, adding three weekly services and boosting Sudan’s links to Doha and Africa’s wider network.

Cholera Crisis: The WHO says Sudan’s latest cholera outbreak has killed at least 120 people, with 1,102 suspected cases reported since May, as conflict keeps response teams out and funding remains tight. Humanitarian Strain in Al Obeid: The ICRC and Sudan Red Crescent say 42,000 people in Al Obeid and North Kordofan received a month’s worth of food, alongside nutrition support for thousands of children and pregnant or lactating women. Atrocities in El Fasher: Amnesty International accuses the RSF of crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing during the siege and capture of el-Fasher, urging a ceasefire and international protection for civilians. Disinformation Watch: AFP reports an AI-generated mass-grave video was falsely linked to Sudan’s war, warning against viral misinformation. Education Recovery: UNESCO is supporting Sudan to strengthen alternative learning for out-of-school children, aligning accelerated learning programmes with the new education framework.

El Obeid Crisis: The UN Human Rights Council is set for an urgent debate over alleged RSF atrocities and “starvation as a method of warfare,” as drone strikes reportedly damaged schools, displacement sites, and fuel infrastructure while siege-like conditions trap thousands. Atrocity Claims: Amnesty says Sudan’s RSF committed crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing in el-Fasher, including deliberate targeting of non-Arab communities and widespread sexual violence, urging a nationwide ceasefire and an international protection force. War’s New Tech Face: Analysts warn Sudan’s conflict is becoming drone-driven, with civilians increasingly killed as both sides race for air advantage. Cholera Update: WHO reports a fresh cholera outbreak in West Kordofan has killed 120 and infected over 1,100 suspected cases, with fighting and damaged health services threatening further spread. Humanitarian Funding: Health funding for Sudan’s crisis is only about a third of what’s needed this year, and WHO says it has received under 15% of its operational funds.

Darfur Atrocities: Amnesty International says Sudan’s RSF committed crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing during the 2024-2025 siege and capture of el-Fasher, alleging murder, torture, rape and forced displacement, and urging an immediate ceasefire plus an international protection force. Frontline Updates: Sudan’s army and allied forces claim they retook Kulbus, a strategic town near the Chadian border, though the RSF has not commented and the claims can’t be independently verified. Humanitarian Pressure: With fighting intensifying, rights groups warn the next catastrophe could be El Obeid, as civilians face escalating risk and aid access remains under strain. Regional Diplomacy: The Arab Parliament urged that any US-Iran understandings must reflect Arab security concerns, while also backing stability efforts across Sudan. Reconstruction & Finance: Ziraat Participation Bank says it is the only international bank operating in post-war Sudan and points to opportunities for Turkish investors as branches reopen in Port Sudan and Khartoum.

Sudan War: The Sudanese army says it retook Kulbus, a strategic town near the Chad border in West Darfur, in its biggest gain in the region since El-Fasher fell; the RSF has not commented and claims of heavy losses and seized vehicles can’t be independently verified. RSF Defections: More RSF fighters are reportedly defecting to the Sudanese Army, but locals and survivors say the move risks rewarding perpetrators accused of atrocities, including mass killings and sexual violence. Humanitarian Access: Sudan extended for three months the opening of the Adré crossing with Chad for humanitarian aid, with UN monitoring arrangements aimed at keeping aid flows transparent. Economy & Diplomacy: China has agreed to waive a $50 million Sudan loan after talks in Beijing, as Khartoum seeks support for economic recovery amid the war. UK Policy Impact: UK plans for “safe and legal” refugee routes and tighter asylum rules are expected to affect Sudanese families, with the Home Office saying many rejected claimants will still remain in Britain.

Humanitarian Access: Sudan extended for three months the opening of the Adré crossing with Chad for UN-managed humanitarian aid, with a monitoring mechanism meant to improve transparency and keep supplies moving until Sept. 30. Cholera Watch: WHO chief Tedros said West Kordofan has a new cholera outbreak—838 suspected cases, 7 confirmed, and 117 deaths as of June 20—blaming conflict disruption, displacement, and delayed response teams. Frontline Developments: Sudan’s Joint Force aligned with the army claimed it captured Kolbus locality in West Darfur near the Chad border, while the SAF also reported gains in Blue Nile. Aid, Recovery, and Governance: RHF joined a UNIDO meeting in Vienna on industrial recovery for Syria, Palestine, and Sudan, focusing on rebuilding livelihoods and productive sectors. Political Pressure: Reports say Sudan’s military-aligned Prime Minister Kamil Idris faces mounting criticism over services in Khartoum, with talk of possible replacement. Regional Security Claims: US announced new sanctions targeting networks it says supply weapons and foreign fighters fueling Sudan’s war.

Sudan Politics: Prime Minister Kamil Idris, backed by the army, is reportedly facing mounting internal pressure over worsening services in Khartoum, with talk that he could be replaced as generals clash over day-to-day control. Cholera Watch: Sudan has declared a new cholera outbreak in West Kordofan, reporting 117 deaths, seven confirmed cases and 838 suspected cases—less than four months after an earlier outbreak was declared over. El Obeid Crisis: A new warning of mass violence in El Obeid, North Kordofan, says drone attacks, closed roads and hospital shortages are pushing the city toward famine-like conditions. Human Rights: After the murder of Father Youhanna Al-Amin in Sudan’s Nuba Mountains, a UK rights group urges authorities to curb tensions and protect civilians. War Funding & Sanctions: The US announced fresh sanctions targeting networks it says supply weapons and foreign fighters to both Sudanese Armed Forces and RSF, and expanded restrictions tied to chemical and biological warfare. Regional War Links: Investigators allege UAE-backed RSF training camps in Libya, describing a wider proxy-war network. Sports & Culture: Al-Merrikh signed Cameroonian midfielder Nathan Douala; Doha Film Institute also backed 48 projects worldwide, including Sudanese filmmakers.

Sudan War Update (El Obeid): RSF attacks are intensifying around El-Obeid in South Kordofan, with drone strikes hitting power and fuel, leaving neighborhoods in darkness and residents relying on tanker trucks and wells as the UN warns of possible ground assault. Sudan Politics & Peace Talks: Sudan’s army chief says there will be no peace talks unless RSF disarms, while UN officials warn the “window is closing” on preventing wider escalation. Humanitarian & Rights Pressure: UN and rights reporting continues to flag rising civilian harm and sexual violence in the war, as aid routes are disrupted by strikes on transport corridors. Regional Diplomacy: UN political chief Rosemary DeCarlo warns full-scale fighting would trigger new displacement waves across Kordofan. Sudan Economy: Coverage also points to Sudan’s sovereign resources being handled by major oil companies, amid broader economic strain. UN Education Support: UNESCO says Sudan is developing its first education sector climate change strategy, backing efforts to reopen schools.

Sudan War Update: The RSF siege around el-Obeid is tightening as drones and renewed fighting raise fears of a wider catastrophe, while the army chief Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan says there will be no peace talks unless the RSF disarms and dismantles its forces. US Sanctions: Washington announced new measures targeting networks it says supply weapons and foreign fighters to both SAF and RSF, plus a second phase under the CBW Act that includes pressure on financing and a bar on Sudanese state-owned air carriers in the US. Humanitarian Alarm: The UAE urged an immediate humanitarian truce at the UN Security Council, calling for safe access and a pathway toward a civilian-led political transition. Education Resilience: UNESCO backed Sudan’s first Education Sector Climate Change Strategy, supporting efforts to reopen schools and protect learning. Displacement in Darfur: UN figures cited new waves of displacement in North Darfur, with over 1,400 people reported displaced in a single day.

Sudan War Watch: The UAE urged an immediate, unconditional humanitarian truce in Sudan, calling on the UN Security Council to pressure the warring parties and move toward a civilian-led political roadmap. El Obeid Crisis: As drones and siege tactics intensify around el-Obeid, Sudanese authorities warn the conflict could spread regionally, while civilians face mounting risks of atrocities. Khartoum’s Money Question: New 1,000- and 500-pound banknotes tied to a “parallel” central bank are reportedly circulating in RSF-controlled areas, raising fresh fears of a split currency and weakening central authority. Humanitarian Pressure: UN and aid groups continue to warn that the window to prevent wider escalation in el-Obeid is closing fast, with calls for truce and weapons restraint. Regional Spillover Warning: Sudan’s leadership says external backing for the RSF—through weapons, fighters, and resources—keeps the war going and threatens neighboring stability.

Sudan Humanitarian Pressure: The UAE renewed its call for an immediate, unconditional humanitarian truce in Sudan at a UN Security Council briefing, urging safe, rapid aid delivery and a roadmap toward an independent, inclusive civilian government. UN Security Council Clash: The UN Security Council meeting turned into sharp blame-trading as the US, Sudan and the UAE disputed responsibility for starvation and war crimes, with Washington announcing a fresh sanctions push tied to chemical weapons allegations. El Obeid Warning: Egypt’s UN envoy said Sudan is facing a “manufactured crisis,” condemning starvation, aid obstruction and attacks on civilian infrastructure, while stressing the need to protect Sudan’s unity and national institutions. Displacement Update: UN reporting highlighted continued mass displacement in Sudan’s regions, including fresh figures from North Darfur. Ebola & Travel Fears: Separate coverage revisited Ebola concerns as Central Africa faces a fast-rising outbreak, with World Cup travel raising public anxiety but experts stressing risk remains low.